covid projections for california


", "covid-map-txt-table-new": "New cases map data", The model to estimate variant specific reproduction numbers is based on methods presented in Figgins & Bedford 2021. Calculating rates by vaccination and booster status is affected by several factors that make interpretation of recent trends especially difficult. "covid-map-txt-county-table-btn-date": "for", Case and death data from Los Angeles and San Diego counties have an additional 1-day lag. "covid-vaccine-txt-title-percent_fully_vaccinated_12_17": "Ages 12 to 17", "covid-map-txt-d7ps": "Average daily cases per 100,000 people", ", Projections may fluctuate week to week as new data is generated, data . People 65 and over have a disproportionate number of deaths. "covid-map-txt-state-ID": "Idaho", "covid-map-txt-state-MO": "Missouri", "covid-vaccine-txt-one-dose": "At least 1 dose", "covid-map-txt-table-lang-search": "Search", "covid-map-txt-county-modal-title": "COVID-19 data for", COVID-19 projections after California's reopening. When lags occur in the COVID-19 data reported by counties and states, the Mayo Clinic data science team uses complex statistical modeling to estimate these values until final numbers are available. "covid-vaccine-txt-age-breakdown-description": "This chart shows the percentage of the U.S. population that has received a vaccination, broken down by age. "covid-vaccine-txt-title-header-fully-vaccinated": "U.S. COVID-19 vaccine rates by age that are fully vaccinated", {category} people account for {metric-value} of confirmed deaths and {metric-baseline-value} of the total California population. The California Department of Public Health has more information about. {category} people account for {metric-value} of confirmed cases and {metric-baseline-value} of the total California population. "covid-map-txt-incomplete-data-one": "Incomplete", But COVID-19 has not gone away. ", "covid-map-txt-sharing-facebook": "Share this page to Facebook", "covid-vaccine-txt-show-all-btn": "Show all states", ", Factors including immunity from prior infection, waning protection related to the amount of time since vaccination, and differences in prevention and testing behaviors by age and vaccination status, have a growing impact on data over time. "covid-map-txt-state-KS": "Kansas", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_75plus": "Age 75 and up", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_40_49": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 40 and 49 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", "covid-map-txt-control-zoomout-vaccine": "Zoom out on the vaccination map", Under this designation, it's recommended that people stay up to date with their vaccinations and wear facial coveringson public transportation, if they have symptoms, test positive for COVID-19 or are exposed to someone with the virus. Unvaccinated and vaccinated cases, hospitalizations, and death source data. "covid-map-txt-slider-forecast-direction-hot": "Forecast", COVID-19 cases continue to trend downward in Riverside County and the Coachella Valley, but state projections suggest another increase in cases could be on the horizon as cooler months. Despite these limitations, data continue to show that COVID-19 vaccination significantly reduces risk of infection and severe disease. "covid-map-txt-d7ps-tooltip": "Click for detailed forecast info", Explore the map and trend view for more details. Kids 5 and older can get the vaccine in the U.S.", Positivity rate was previously reported as a 14-day average. Confirmed deaths by race and ethnicity in California. "covid-map-txt-tab-btn-map-trend-view-visually-hidden-hot-spots-trends": "Trends view - hot spots", LEMMA scenarios either include 'for COVID' only (no incidental COVID) or 'with COVID' (includes incidental COVID). "covid-map-txt-today": "Today", "covid-map-txt-state-SD": "South Dakota", Variant proportions are then estimated from these case counts as the proportion of projected new cases caused by each variant. We update this data weekly. About 280,000 Californians died during the 12-month period, representing a higher-than-average surge, year over year. The {category} age group accounts for {metric-value} of confirmed cases and {metric-baseline-value} of the total California population. "covid-map-txt-key-median": "Median forecast", "covid-map-txt-table-lang-info": "Showing _START_ to _END_ of _TOTAL_ results", California Gov. 1x increased transmission (5_1xbeta_Lmin0p5) assumes a one-time 5% increase in contact rates at the start of the projection. COVID19.CA.GOV. "covid-map-txt-npps-desc": "Total cases are the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases, including probable cases and cases confirmed by testing. "covid-vaccine-txt-title-percent_fully_vaccinated_18_64": "Ages 18 to 64", ", "covid-vaccine-txt-title-percent_least_one_dose_0_17": "Under age 18", "covid-map-txt-state-IN": "Indiana", Additional COVID-19 race and ethnicity data is available. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_fully-vaccinated_65_74": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 65 and 74 who are fully vaccinated is ", California Department of Public Health. Gov. "covid-map-txt-d7ps-average": "Average daily cases", }, Re-center "covid-map-txt-state-TN": "Tennessee", "covid-map-txt-table-hot-forecast-warning": "There is an uncertainty interval for this future date. Taking other forecasts as the input, this is arithmetic average across eligible models of cumulative deaths forecasts. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_25_39": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 25 and 39 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", Model inputs are publically available daily counts of COVID-19 cases, archived by the New York Times. "covid-map-txt-app-loading": "Data is loading", Ask an expert: How solid are California's coronavirus projections? "covid-map-txt-control-center-hot": "Re-center the hot spots map", Mayo Clinic is tracking COVID-19 cases and forecasting hot spots. That number includes 11 individuals in intensive care. "covid-map-txt-text-of-table": "of ", "covid-map-txt-pr_md_npps-b2": "Per 100,000 people", A single copy of these materials may be reprinted for noncommercial personal use only. The model is calibrated to hospitalization, ICU and death data using Bayesian methods. "covid-map-txt-state-AR": "Arkansas", "covid-map-txt-state-PR": "Puerto Rico", See our data sources or read the glossary of terms. CDPH continues to evaluate ways to present this information in a way that better accounts for these limitations. "covid-map-txt-npps-sub": "Total cases per 100,000 people", "covid-map-txt-trds-desc": "Individuals who have recovered from COVID-19. "covid-map-txt-state-WI": "Wisconsin", "covid-map-txt-tab-btn-map-trend-view-visually-hidden-hot-spots-map": "Map view - hot spots", ", COVID-19 hospitalized patients and ICU source data. Updated {PUBLISHED_DATE} with data from {MINUS_ONE_DATE}. Our experts monitor this 7-day average instead of new cases, since many local health departments are no longer reporting case counts every 24 hours. California produces long-term (10 year) projections of employment every 2 years for the State and local areas. Data is compiled from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Covid Act Now, Mayo Clinic patient data, Minnesota Department of Health, the Unacast Social Distancing Scoreboard, the United States Department of Health & Human Services, and USAFacts. Data Updated Oct 25 USA / California / County Summary Cases and Deaths Vaccination Progress Impact and Recovery New Cases Per Day New Deaths Per Day In California, there were 0 newly reported COVID-19 cases and 0 newly reported COVID-19 deaths on Oct 25, 2022 Projections for COVID-19 hospitalizations in Santa Clara County through October. If you're not vaccinated, outdoor activities pose a lower risk than indoor activities do. "covid-map-txt-dncs": "New cases per day", "covid-vaccine-txt-state-pop": "State population", The Johns Hopkins model is the lone model projecting a hospitalization . This map will be deleted on November 30, 2022, due to many factors, such as delays in reporting and less accurate reporting of cases. Fully vaccinated is the percentage of people in the population (by state or United States) who are fully vaccinated. Mayo Clinic uses a Bayesian susceptible, infected, recovered (SIR) model. "covid-map-txt-key-forecast": "Upper and lower bounds of estimated forecast", "covid-map-txt-control-center-new": "Re-center the new cases map", "covid-map-txt-state-VI": "U.S. Virgin Islands", "covid-vaccine-txt-title-header-one-dose": "U.S. COVID-19 vaccine rates by age with at least one dose", Do vaccines protect against the variants? In high vaccination protection scenarios, vaccination coverage is 10% higher than the 2020-2021 flu season for each age group (60% for adults), and vaccine effectiveness against medically attended influenza illnesses and hospitalizations is equal to 60% (comparable to the 2010-2011 flu season). ", The logistic proportion model is based on methods presented in Althaus et al 2021. COVID-19 vaccines save lives. "covid-map-txt-sharing-email": "Email this page", Updated {PUBLISHED_DATE} with data from {MINUS_ONE_DATE}. "covid-map-txt-slider-label-new": "Select a date for new cases data", At least 1 dose. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_50_64": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 50 and 64 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", This creates a confident projection of variant distribution in California. "covid-map-txt-state-IL": "Illinois", Our experts monitor this 7-day average instead of new cases, since many local health departments are no longer reporting case counts every 24 hours. Our experts monitor this 7-day average instead of new cases, since many local health departments are no longer reporting case counts every 24 hours. "covid-map-txt-slider-current-direction-hot": "Last 60 days", Positivity rate is calculated as the number of positive molecular tests divided by the total molecular tests performed. "covid-map-txt-table-header-date": "Date", ", The percentage of population vaccinated includes people who have completed their primary series and people who are vaccinated and boosted divided by the population eligible for vaccination. "covid-map-txt-state-VT": "Vermont", Risk-focused booster policy assumes a booster campaign starting on October 1, 2022 only for ages 55+ and individuals with chronic conditions with booster uptake reduced by 15% as compared to the first booster. Effects of COVID-19 on the Employment Projections Program The 2018-2028 employment projections do not include impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and response efforts . "covid-map-txt-d7ps-view-map-data-table": "View hot spots map data as a table", ", An unvaccinated case, hospitalization, or death is one that occurs in a person who has not received a COVID-19 vaccine. "covid-map-txt-state-NC": "North Carolina", "covid-map-txt-county-modal-no-data": "No data available for this location. "covid-map-txt-table-lang-searchPlaceholder": "", "covid-map-txt-npps-view-map-data-table": "View total cases map data as a table", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics-age_5_11": "Ages 5 to 11", Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. In the meantime, our researchers will keep track of any developments that might require more frequent updates. The percentage of population vaccinated will be consistently updated due to ongoing statewide vaccine record reconciliation efforts. "covid-vaccine-txt-age-breakdown-title": "U.S. COVID-19 vaccine rates by age", LEMMA provides credibility intervals and scenarios for future cases, hospitalization, ICU, deaths and Rt. In the last 24 hours, more than 33,000 people in the state had tested positive for COVID-19. "covid-vaccine-txt-percent_least_one_dose_65plus": "The percentage of people in the United States ages 65 and up who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", "covid-vaccine-txt-map-table-forth-column-title": "Population", Last updated October 21, 2022 (Pacific Time) FAQ | Policy briefings | Publications | Partners. "covid-vaccine-txt-percent_fully_vaccinated_0_17": "The percentage of people in the United States under age 18 who are fully vaccinated is ", "covid-map-txt-dpps-desc": "New cases are the number of COVID-19 cases reported in the previous 24 hours. In low vaccination protection scenarios, vaccination coverage is 10% lower than the 2020-2021 flu season for each age group (40% for adults), and vaccine effectiveness against medically attended influenza illnesses and hospitalizations is equal to 30% (comparable to the 2018-2019 flu season). "covid-map-txt-state-PA": "Pennsylvania", Covid Act Now provides statewide and county-level estimates of R-effective, taking mortality and confirmed cases as inputs. Further breakdown by county shows Riverside County sees about 90 new daily cases currrently,but could increase to 350 by the beginning ofNovember. Note: Data is updated weekly. The distribution of confirmed COVID-19 deaths reveals a disparity between genders, with males having a disproportionate number of deaths relative to their population. "covid-map-txt-table-total-trends": "Total cases trends data", "covid-map-txt-average-tab": "Average positive test rate", "covid-map-txt-state-OH": "Ohio", Contact your health care provider for medical advice. See the percentage of fully vaccinated people in any state by hovering over that state in the map below. The multinomial spline model is based on methods presented in Davies et al 2021. Find your county community level. "covid-map-txt-forecast-unavailable": "Forecast unavailable", California has 10,519,175 confirmed cases of COVID-19, resulting in 96,185 confirmed deaths. The Regional Stay At Home Order took effect on December 5. This immunity gap is assumed to be primarily driven by loss of immunity from natural infection. ", The {category} age group accounts for {metric-value} of confirmed deaths and {metric-baseline-value} of the total California population. "covid-map-txt-control-zoomin-hot": "Zoom in on the hot spots map", New projections show that we could see another major wave of coronavirus cases in the months ahead.. "covid-vaccine-txt-trend-scale-legend": "Percentage of the U.S. population vaccinated", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_5_11": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 5 and 11 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", Vaccines are safe and effective for everyone aged 6 months and older. In our forecasted hot spots views, the uncertainty interval is shown in parentheses, from the lower bound of the estimated forecast to the upper bound of the estimated forecast. This includes people who have had one dose of the Janssen/Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine or two doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna COVID-19 vaccines. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_12_17": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 12 and 17 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", No new variant assumes there is the same mix of strains circulating as at the beginning of the projection period. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. "covid-map-txt-state-NJ": "New Jersey", Credit: Illustration: Maria Stavreva. "covid-vaccine-txt-vaccination-goal": "Vaccination goal", "covid-map-txt-map-hot-spots-subtitle": "This map shows a rolling average of daily cases for the past week. An unusually small number of data reported, An unusually high number of data reported, due to backlogs in reporting from the previous day. "covid-map-txt-view-data-table-trends-fatality": "View fatality rate as a table", The rate of positive tests over the last 7 days is 4.1%. "covid-map-txt-npps": "Total cases per 100,000 people", "covid-map-txt-view-data-table-trends": "View trends as a table", "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_fully-vaccinated_under18": "The percentage of people in the United States under age 18 who are fully vaccinated is ", "covid-map-txt-control-zoomin-new": "Zoom in on the new cases map", No change assumes that current contact rates will remain unchanged in the future. Mayo Clinic experts recommend getting a COVID-19 vaccine as soon as its available to you. "covid-vaccine-txt-demographics_one-dose_65_74": "The percentage of people in the United States between the ages of 65 and 74 who have received at least 1 dose of the COVID-19 vaccine is ", Test positivity is based on a 7-day average with no lag. ", All data and predictions include the delta and omicron variants and other SARS-CoV-2 variants. Pessimistic assumes the Omicron hospitalization rate in immunonaive is slightly lower than for Delta and booster vaccine effectiveness is lower,. "covid-map-txt-state-NM": "New Mexico", Despite the rapid pace at which vaccines have been administered throughout . "covid-map-txt-state-TX": "Texas", "covid-map-txt-state-DE": "Delaware", Late boosters assumes that the reformulated boosters will be available from Nov 13, 2022 for all adults with booster coverage reduced by 10% as compared to the historical seasonal flu vaccination. "covid-vaccine-txt-map-table-third-column-title": "Fully vaccinated", "covid-map-txt-state-WA": "Washington", The rate of positive tests over the last 7 days is 4.5%. Gu is from the San Francisco Bay Area and went . "covid-map-txt-sharing-twitter": "Share this page to Twitter", There are a range of reasons for this designation, including: Data is updated every day. "covid-map-txt-loading-data-forecast": "Adding 14-day forecast", "covid-vaccine-txt-title-state-breakdown": "State COVID-19 vaccine rates by age",

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covid projections for california