"Matthew Berry, ESPN. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. 3) Micah Richards. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. O.J. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. The Top Ten. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. Single Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. He was a reliable pass-protector, and had sure hands. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. most overrated running backs of all time. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. I would probably rank him around 43. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. 2022/07/02 . The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. 5 / 30. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Overall: 98 and 96. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. Jan 26 . While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. 24 Overrated RBs. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. . It's not entirely his fault. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. Has no highlight reel. McKissic. The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB12. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. There isnt much to like here. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt.
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