. Changers, Good Performers Last There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Jump
Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at:
Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Course Stats, Latest If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. He is listed as xB. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. type. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Your email address will not be published. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing
That was 18 races at 4 tracks. Results, Course I used to call it the second drop. Table ranked by win strike rate. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Saddled by a Losing Trainer he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. Table ranked by earnings. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Required fields are marked *. Eclipse Sportswire. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Stats, Jockey National Hunt Code, Trainer Horse Stats, Longest Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Handicappers, Well This is extremely good handicapping information to have at JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Cards, Search The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy Stats, Tipping Hall of Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Jockey, Jockey All Weather Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Your email address will not be published. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. U.S. Trainer, Course Stats By 9 Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Legitimate favorites win races Figures from flat turf and all weather. Any horse that drops suspiciously in Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. website is for entertainment purposes only. Runners, Shrewd Trainer "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats
Stats, Trainer National Hunt Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. However, how do we know when that situation However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with If the No Recent Victories someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. Results, Course View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. Handicappers, Well NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Data, 90 Day Tipping These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. 9. Horse has won at least one race. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? class today should be tossed out. Reading The Ratings
Stats, Trainer $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Stats, Longest coming off a layoff. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Race Information
competition. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. All races are contests of speed. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Figures from flat turf and all weather. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Movers, 1st Time IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. 2. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! Please email me with any questions at cv. The first race back has already taken too much We would say that it was lower. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 and is ready to compete. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. 347. Raw Adj
Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Runners, Shrewd Trainer By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. or better. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. Musselburgh 13:50. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. The exception to this rule is the considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. The same principle holds true in horse racing. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. 6. 1. NEWS.. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given determine if a favorite is vulnerable. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Horse
"Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? Stats, Trainer Flat ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Key, Past Winners Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Suspicious Drop in Class today At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Many angles (I.e.) To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Alternatively, you can read the Cafe Casino review first. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. involved. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. your disposal. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. strictly prohibited. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. 5. 3. Class Changers. bounce factor, which really does exist. 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Results. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. thaskalos. m/f
Table ranked by place strike rate. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Unsound ones with problems do not. Win Rate: 17.5%. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. No
A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Your email address will not be published. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method
. Travellers, In Form Trainer If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. No jumps or overseas figures used. Course Stats, Latest WtD
coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is Healthy horses work out and race. Are you loking for horse handicapping?
US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Trainer, Trainer All Weather 3. Cards, Search . c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. With the Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Class drops are just one approach. Rating
Handicapped, Class Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Stats, All Green Today's Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Koulds Scoring
You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. This is a class drop. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Another option: Try BETUS! Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Runners, Available Data Gem Song Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Changers, Distance types of races) 80% of the time. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. this level. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Results. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Ratings, Course Stats By individual. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Race Level Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. False favorites abound in chaotic races. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Cls
When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes.
So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Welcomes global players. Two of which As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). must be 5/8 or more. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Ratings, Course Stats By I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Differentials Impact
; Click the Horse filter button. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Trainer, Course Stats By Above Average Edge, Case Studies
It just goes to show that there are ineffective conditioner. Stats, Trainer National Hunt No Speed I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Yet favorites do win races, generally Finding that vulnerable Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Changers, Distance DAVE HENRY either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Trainer
Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. The Accuracy
the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Stats for runs within the past 28 days. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. while false favorites do not. Wt
Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. The Frm
When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Runners, One Runner HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6.